no magic number

I tried to analyze the shots idea in a couple of ways. No matter how I did it, my hypothesis was wrong. For several different thresholds, I checked the correlation between KG's and Wallys shots being at or above the threshold and the Wolves winning. I tried values between 25 and 40, and for all, the correlation was small and often negative. I also tried correlating their combined percentage of the team's FGA's being over a threshold (between 35 and 50 %) with wins, but got the same result -- small correlation and negative. I tried the raw percentages and number of shots with point differential next. KG and Wally's shot attempts and pct of team shot attempts are both negatively correlated with point differential, KG's moreso. But interestingly, the number of total team shot attempts is negatively correlated with point differential. I guess this all adds up to me being wrong about thinking that KG needed more shots or at least KG and Wally together needed more shots. Perhaps it's a relief that it's not just that simple. One thing I looked at that seemed reasonable was that the average points per shot attempt (pts / FGA) for KG, Wally, and the Wolves are all positively correlated with point differential in a seemingly meaningful way. Once I come up with better numbers, I'll pick a format and post them here with the conclusions. So despite the fact that my beef was not statistically reinforced tonight, I will say that I think the player your owner calls the franchise should take more than one shot in the 4th quarter of a close game. When he doesn't, there's plenty of blame to be shared by him, his teammates, and his coach. I think if given a similar circumstance next game, KG will be more aggressive about taking shots. I hope Coach Casey will work on the playbook a little to make it easier for him.